← LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament
Water Umbra GuardianTier 2
at LabyrinthGames Brunei Regionals Tournament
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suited | 20.0% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.4% | +2.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 6 | 1-3-2 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -2.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +1.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Wind Allies | 4.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 67.1% | +16.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.3% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 42.2% | -5.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Fire Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 2.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Slimes | 2.2% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 31.3% | -12.0 |
| Water Fractal | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.2% | 4 | 1-2-1 | 37.5% | 43.8% | 52.5% | +1.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Ranger | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.5 |
| Fire Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Wind Vanitas | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 1.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.4% | -14.0 |
| Water Neos | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 1.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.4% | +16.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 54 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 54 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song of Frost | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Restorative Slash | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Confidant's Oath | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Revitalizing Cleanse | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavy Swing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rivulet Adjutant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grande Aiguille | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liminal Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Pristine Scourge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Strategem of Myriad Ice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fracturize | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ombreux Chevalier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cerulean Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frostsworn Paladin | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Water | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Buried Grief | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vigil Rempart | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regal Inquisition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Overpowering Defense | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Suffocating Miasma | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Flowing Oubli | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Dredging Streams | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Primordial Ritual | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Water | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Obsequious Blow | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vaporjet Shieldbearer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brusque Neige | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reverse Affliction | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Paragon | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sablier Guard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Memento Pocketwatch | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Leporine Masque | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lamentation's Toll | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Acquiescing Rejection | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mire Reparation | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Storm of Thorns | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Soutirer Vortex | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beguiling Coup | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grim Pastiche | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Refracting Missile | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aquifer Seneschal | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nocturne's Oblivion | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |